Giro Betting Odds
Calculating the Probability. Betting lines can also be used to calculate the probability of winning. We can refer to this formula: Probability (%) = denominator / (numerator + denominator) Let’s take these cycling odds, for example: Rider. Probability of Winning (%) Wout Van Aert. Giro d'Italia 2021 - Outright in Giro d'Italia - Cycling. Betting odds and more from William Hill, the online bookmaker. Awarded as 4 equal free bets total first deposit amount. Min odds 1/1, 3+ legs & expire in 7 days. Odds boosts: Odds boost crediting relies on marketing comms opt-in. Unlocked on deposit. Deposit £50-99 to get 2 x 25% boost/£100 to get 2 x 50% boost. Min odds 2/1, 2+ legs, expires 7 days, max stake £20.
The Giro d’Italia 2019 is a Grand Tour cycling stage race that is scheduled from May 12 to June 2, 2019 in Italy. This year’s race will be the 102nd running of the Giro d’Italia and it is the first Grand Race of the year.
This year’s Giro d’Italia will begin with an 8.2 km time trial in Bologna and will also end with a 15.6 km time trial in Verona. The race consists of 21 stages totalling 3.518.5 km. Last year, Chris Froome won the race last year and he was joined at the podium by second placer Tom Dumoulin and third placer Miguel Angel Lopez.
This year, defending championFroome had decided to skip the Giro in order to focus on the 2019 Tour de France. In his absence, 2018 runner-up and 2017 winner Tom Dumoulin is the odds on favorite to win the race.
Here are the current odds to win the 2019 Giro d’Italia. Odds are taken from bet365 as of 4/12/19:
| Cyclist | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tom Dumoulin | +175 |
| Simon Yates | +275 |
| Primoz Roglic | +300 |
| Egan Bernal | +300 |
| Miguel Angel Lopez | +1400 |
| Vincenzo Nibali | +1400 |
| Mikel Landa | +2200 |
| Ilnur Zakarin | +6000 |
| Richard Caparaz | +8000 |
| Alejandro Valverde | +8000 |
| Tadej Pogacar | +8000 |
| Ivan Ramiro Sosa | +10000 |
| Domenico Pozzovivo | +12500 |
| Rafal Majka | +15000 |
| Johan Esteban Chaves | +15000 |
| Bob Jungels | +18000 |
| Bauke Mollema | +20000 |
| Davide Formolo | +25000 |
| Pello Bilbao | +25000 |
| Maximilian Schachmann | +25000 |
| Ion Izaguirre | +30000 |
| Jack Haig | +30000 |
Who Are The Favorites?
Defending Giro d’Italia champion Chris Froome will not be here to defend his crown because he has chosen to skip the race and focus on his preparations for the Tour de France. That leaves 2017 winner Tom Dumoulin as the most recent Giro d’Italia champion in the current field. The Dutchman also placed 2nd in the Giro D’Italia last year, the only cyclist to finish within a minute of Froome in the race and these recent Giro performances are the reason why Dumoulin is the top betting favorite to win this year’s race.
The 28-year old Maastricht, Netherlands native has not won a race this year as of this writing but he placed 6th in the UAE Tour and 4th in the Tirreno Adriatico in the previous months. Dumoulin spoke about his preference for the Giro D’Italia over the Tour de France this year, making us believe that he is more than ready to reclaim the crown this year.
Simon Yates finished 21st in this race last year but he won three stages and held the pink jersey after stages 6-18. Yates had a strong 2018 as he was also 2nd placer in the Paris-Nice, Tour de Pologne and 4th in the Volta a Catalunya. This year, Yates finished 25th in the Paris-Nice and 13th in the Volta a Catalunya.
Primoz Roglic won the Tour de Romandie and Tour of the Basque Country last year and is this year’s Tirreno-Adriatico winner. The 29-year old Slovenian also won the first ever UAE Tour last February.
22-year old Colombian Egan Bernal is one of the up and coming riders this season. Bernal won the 2018 Tour of California and the recent 2019 Paris-Nice. Bernal also finished 3rd in the time trial of the 2019 National Road Championships in Colombia, 3rd overall in the 2019 Volta a Catalunya and 4th in the 2019 Tour Colombia.
2016 winner Vincenzo Nibali is another former champion who is focusing his efforts on the 2019 Giro d’Italia. Last January, Nibali said that the Giro will be his primary goal for 2019. Nibali also won the Giro d’Italia in 2013, placed 2nd in 2011 and finished third in 2012 and 2017. Given the announced route of the 2019 Giro d’Italia, Nibali’s all-around versatility should be an edge in the race.
Who Wins?
When you look at the names who have confirmed their participation in the 2019 Giro d’Italia, a pair of former winners stand out. First is Tom Dumoulin who obviously has the best results in the Giro the past two years and then there is two-time maglia rosa winner Vincenzo Nibali whose all-around skills may be best suited for the 2019 Giro D’Italia. Nibali defends himself well in the time trials and is a strong finisher as gives out his best in the third week of competition. He is also a mentally tough rider who can overcome critical moments because of his “doesn’t give a damn attitude”. And then of course he is a specialist in the Grand Tours, being one of only seven cyclists to win the three Grand Tours in his career.
When it comes to the classification winner, Tom Dumoulin is the man to beat no doubt about that. But when it comes to betting value, I will go with Vincenzo Nibali to win the 2019 Giro d’Italia.
On Saturday, October 3rd, the 103rd edition of the Giro d’Italia gets underway as the sport’s second Grand Tour begins in Monreale, Sicily.
Like the Tour de France, the Giro d’Italia is a three week stage race that ultimately ends up becoming a war of attrition for the riders. This year’s Giro features three time trials and numerous grueling mountain stages with the 3rd week set up to ensure that only the strongest cyclists will survive.
The Giro was originally supposed to be held in May, but like the rest of the cycling season, this Grand Tour had to be rescheduled due to the pandemic. As of this writing, some teams are still putting together their official squads with just a few days until the start of the race.
Giro d’Italia betting sites have released odds for the overall race winner (pink jersey). Let’s take a look at these odds, identify potential value, and claim the “Maglia Rosa” with our predictions.
There are mountains. And then there are mountains. LIVE starting Saturday: Giro d'Italia broadcast details, Start List, Full route details with Profiles, Maps, Timetables and more https://t.co/UAOTy1UhaKpic.twitter.com/JTDytYbyaZ
— Pete Geyer (@cyclingfans) September 27, 2020
Best Giro D’Italia Betting Sites
Below we have included our list of the best sites for betting on the Giro d’Italia. These sites have the best odds and provide the safest online betting experience for the 2020 Giro d’Italia.
Giro d’Italia Course Preview
The 103rd edition of the Giro d’Italia has the following course over its 21 stages:
| Date | Stage | Route | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 3 | One | Monreale to Palermo | 9mi/15km |
| Oct. 4 | Two | Alcomo to Agrigento | 93mi/150km |
| Oct. 5 | Three | Enna to Etna | 93mi/150km |
| Oct. 6 | Four | Catania to Villafranco Tirrena | 87mi/140km |
| Oct 7 | Five | Mileto to Camigliatello Silano | 140mi/225km |
| Oct. 8 | Six | Castrovillari to Matera | 117mi/188km |
| Oct. 9 | Seven | Matera to Brindisi | 89mi/143km |
| Oct. 10 | Eight | Giovinazzo to Vieste | 124mi/200km |
| Oct. 11 | Nine | San Salvo to Roccaraso | 129/207km |
| Oct 12 | Rest day | N/A | N/A |
| Oct. 13 | 10 | Lanciano to Tortoreto | 110mi/177km |
| Oct. 14 | 11 | Porto Sant’Elpidio to Rimini | 113mi/182km |
| Oct. 15 | 12 | Cesenatico to Cesenatico | 127mi/204km |
| Oct. 16 | 13 | Cervia to Monselice | 119mi/190km |
| Oct. 17 | 14 | Conegliano to Valdobbiadene | 21mi/34km |
| Oct. 18 | 15 | Base Aerea Rivolto to Piancavallo | 115mi/185km |
| Oct. 19 | Rest day | N/A | N/A |
| Oct. 20 | 16 | Udine to San Daniele del Friuli | 142mi/229km |
| Oct. 21 | 17 | Bassano del Grappa to Madonna di Campiglio | 202km |
| Oct. 22 | 18 | Pinzolo to Laghi di Cancano | 126mi/207km |
| Oct. 23 | 19 | Morbegno to Asti | 156mi/251km |
| Oct. 24 | 20 | Alba to Sestriere | 123mi/198km |
| Oct. 25 | 21 | Cernusco sul Naviglio to Milano | 10mi/15.7km |
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Giro d’Italia Classifications
Like the other two Grand Tours (Tour de France and Vuelta a Espana), the Giro d’Italia features the following individual classifications which are represented by the corresponding jerseys:
Giro d'Italia jerseys: Pink, purple, blue and white explained https://t.co/IwAgDUjwQBpic.twitter.com/GVjIvY6UiZ
— The Cycle Collective (@cyclecollective) September 25, 2020
General Classification – Pink Jersey
The first Giro took place in 1909, but it wasn’t until 1931 that the pink jersey started to be awarded to the race leader and overall winner. Eddie Merckx, Alfredo Binda, and Fausto Coppi hold the record for the most pink jersey wins with five apiece.
The following is a list of the last five winners of the GC:
- 2019 – Richard Carapaz
- 2018 – Chris Froome
- 2017 – Tom Dumoulin
- 2016 – Vincenzo Nibali
- 2015 – Alberto Contador
Points Classification – Purple Jersey
Like the green jersey in the Tour de France, the Giro also has a points classification which is often thought of as the jersey for the sprinters. Yet, in the Giro where there are far more mountain stages than flat stages, this competition can go to anyone who can sprint and climb.
This classification didn’t officially start until 1966 and was first won by Gianni Motta. Since then, Francesco Moser and Giuseppe Saronni have the most all-time purple jersey wins at four apiece.
The following is a list of the last five purple jersey winners:
- 2019 – Pascal Ackermann
- 2018 – Elia Viviani
- 2017 – Fernando Gaviria
- 2016 – Giacomo Nizzolo
- 2015 – Giacomo Nizzolo
Mountains Classification – Blue Jersey
Organizers first started awarding this competition in 1933. That year, it was won of the Giro’s all-time greats in Alfredo Binda. At first, this classification was represented by a green jersey. However, in 2012, the jersey color was changed to blue.
Gino Bartali holds the record for the most blue jersey wins with seven. The following is a list of the last five winners of this classification:
- 2019 – Giulio Ciccone
- 2018 – Chris Froome
- 2017 – Mikel Landa
- 2016 – Mikel Nieve
- 2015 – Giovanni Visconti
Best Young Rider – White Jersey
In 1976, race organizers added a fourth jersey competition to the event as they introduced the white jersey for the best young rider under the age of 25. This classification wasn’t held from 1995 to 2006, but was brought back in 2007 and remains one of the four primary jersey classifications.
The last five winners of this competition were:
- 2019 – Miguel Angel Lopez
- 2018 – Miguel Angel Lopez
- 2017 – Bob Jungels
- 2016 –Bob Jungels
- 2015 – Fabio Aru
Giro d’Italia Betting Odds
The following cycling betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
- Geraint Thomas (+100)
- Simon Yates (+300)
- Jakob Fuglsang (+550)
- Steven Kruijwijk (+750)
- Vincenzo Nibali (+800)
- Alexander Vlasov (+1200)
- Rafal Majka (+2500)
- Miguel Angel Lopez (+3300)
- Ivan Ramiro Sosa (+4000)
- Wilco Kelderman (+4000)
- Joao Almeida (+6600)
- Laurens De Plus(+6600)
- Marc Soler (+6600)
Favorites to Win the Giro
As of this writing, the following cyclists are considered the odds on favorites to win the 2020 Giro d’Italia:
Geraint Thomas (+100)
The big controversy in cycling last month was that Team Ineos left Geraint Thomas off of their Tour de France squad. He was the 2018 TDF winner and a veteran of that grueling Grand Tour. As we all saw, Ineos’ hope of Egan Bernal repeating as the TDF winner was crushed in the Alps.
Now, Team Ineos will turn their attention back to Thomas as he is set to lead the squad in Italy over the next three weeks.
Instead of racing in the Tour de France, Thomas competed in the Tirreno-Adriatico where he finished 2nd overall in the GC and 2nd in the points classification. Thomas then went on to finish 4th at the World Championships time trial.
This will be Thomas’ 4th appearance in the Giro. His best result came in 2012 when he finished 80th overall. His last appearance was in 2017 and Thomas didn’t finish the race. He has also never won a stage in this Grand Tour.
That can all change this year as Thomas is the betting favorite to win the 2020 Giro d’Italia.
Simon Yates (+300)
As mentioned, Thomas finished 2nd at the Tirreno-Adriatico as Simon Yates ended up winning the eight stage race. He also finished 2nd in the mountains classification. Prior to that event, Yates finished 3rd in the Tour de Pologne.
Simon Yates leads Mitchelton-Scott at the Giro d'Italia
Briton in good form for GC battle after Tirreno-Adriatico victoryhttps://t.co/G1066xOkstpic.twitter.com/sBRGe50jhb
— Cyclingnews.com (@Cyclingnewsfeed) September 28, 2020
As the leader of Team Mitchelton-Scott, Yates was scheduled to race the Giro instead of the Tour de France as the team leaders thought this year’s Giro course was better suited for Simon.
He’s competed in two previous Giro d’Italia races before, with an 8th place result in 2019 as his highest mark. Unlike Geraint Thomas, Yates has won a stage in this event.
With a strong team by his side, Yates could be a serious threat to win this three week race. He’s won the Vuelta a Espana in 2018 and has proven that he’s one of the sport’s top Grand Tour riders.
Jakob Fuglsang (+550)
This will be Jakob Fuglsang’s first Grand Tour race of 2020, but the 15th of his career. He’s competed in just one Giro before, which came back in 2016. He’s spent most of his Grand Tour career competing in the Tour de France.
Fuglsang has had a strong season since the sport returned from hiatus. He finished 2nd at the Tour de Pologne, won Il Lombardia, and finished 5th in the road race for the World Championships last weekend.
He enters this year’s Giro as the team leader for Astana and does have some firepower alongside him especially with Miguel Angel Lopez.
Can Fuglsang win his first Grand Tour by conquering the field and the mountains in this year’s Giro d’Italia?
Steven Kruijwijk (+750)
Steven Kruijwijk was supposed to race in the Tour de France to support Primoz Roglic for the overall win, but he crashed in the Criterium du Dauphine right before the Tour and was unable to compete.
Now, Kruijwijk will be the unquestioned team leader for Jumbo-Visma as he competes in his 6th Giro d’Italia race. Kruijwijk’s best performance came in 2016 when he finished 4th. His best Grand Tour result came in the 2019 Tour de France when he finished 3rd overall.
Kruijwijk looked strong in the Criterium and could’ve been a real help to Roglic in the TDF. The crash derailed his trajectory for 2020. However, all reports indicated that Kruijwijk looks fully recovered and ready to compete for his first ever Grand Tour victory.
Vincenzo Nibali (+800)
Nicknamed “The Shark,” Vincenzo Nibali is looking to win the 3rd Giro d’Italia of his illustrious career. At 35 years of age, this is probably his best chance to claim the pink jersey before the sun begins to set on his days as a realistic GC contender.
Nibali is one of the only active cyclists to have won all three Grand Tours in his career. He won the Giro in 2013 and 2016, the Tour de France in 2014, and the Vuelta a Espana in 2010.
As for his Giro career, Nibali has won seven stages in this Grand Tour and finished on the podium four other times. He’s yet to win any other jersey in this race. Last year, Nibali finished 2nd in the Giro roughly 65 seconds behind the winner Richard Carapaz.
The entire Trek-Segafredo squad is built around helping Nibali win this Grand Tour. There’s no aspirations for stage wins or jersey wins other than whatever it takes for Nibali to win his third Giro d’Italia.
Nibali intentionally skipped the Tour de France this year to prepare for the Giro. He finished 15th in the World Championships road race, 19th at Tireno-Adriatico, 6th at Il Lombardia, and 4th at Paris Nice.
Best Giro d’Italia Betting Value
As mentioned, Miguel Angel Lopez (+3300) is on Team Astana, but will most likely be called upon to help Fuglsang in his quest to win the pink jersey. However, as we’ve seen many times before, if a team’s leader struggles in any way then the super domestique could take over.
Lopez had a strong showing at this year’s Tour de France as he finished 6th overall and 5th in the KOTM. He won the TDF’s hardest stage (stage 17) and showed that he’s one of the best climbers in the sport.
This year’s Giro will be the 3rd appearance for Lopez in Italy’s biggest bike race. Last year, he finished 7th overall and in 2018 Lopez finished 3rd. He’s also won the white jersey two years running.
The big news surrounding Lopez heading into this Grand Tour was the announcement that he will be leaving Team Astana at the end of the season. The team wasn’t able to afford to keep Lopez due to budget cuts. The Giro will be his last race with Astana. Can he go out on a high note?
Longshot to Win the Giro
Marc Soler (+6600) is my longshot pick. However, there is some uncertainty as to whether or not he will compete in this race. Soler was originally scheduled to be the leader of Movistar for the Giro, but after competing in this year’s Tour de France, Soler might not ride in the Giro after all.
Giro Di Lombardia Betting Odds
If he does compete, you have to like Soler’s chances to finish high in this race. Where he helped leaders Valverde and Enric Mas in the TDF, Soler would be the one getting all of the help in the Giro d’Italia.
Who Will Win the 2020 Giro d’Italia?
After seeing the odds at cycling betting sites, I’m still picking Thomas to win.
This year’s Giro is perfectly suited for Thomas. There are three time trials and, of the top contenders for the pink jersey, Thomas is the best of them all at the TT.
Geraint Thomas says Tour de France exclusion has given him ‘a new lease of life’ https://t.co/O3CjELsSrHpic.twitter.com/wJc6LOtYKt
— The Cycle Collective (@cyclecollective) September 24, 2020
Giro D'italia Betting Odds
Geraint finished 4th in the time trial for the World Championships losing out to the fastest sprinters in the sport. He also finished 4th in the time trial at Tirreno-Adriatico where Thomas showed that he’s back on form. That’s bad news for the peloton in this year’s Giro.
With his form looking strong the last few weeks, and the extra motivation due to being left off the Tour de France squad, I expect a very focused Thomas who should be able to put enough time ahead of the field in the time trials while hanging with the best climbers in the mountains.
I like Simon Yates to challenge Thomas for the win, but Geraint should outduel Yates in the time trials. Keep in mind, Yates just beat out Thomas at the Tirreno-Adriatico a little over a week ago. This is going to be a classic showdown between two teams and two top GC contenders.
This Grand Tour may not be as loaded as the Tour de France was, but it will definitely be just as dramatic and as picturesque as we spend three weeks riding through some of Italy’s most beautiful landscapes.